But if one take a look to the OIH index than we see the bullish sign.
Sphere: Related Content
Financial stories are floating around in the small harbor of the little village I live in near the sea, somewhere lost in the fog of an Atlantic coast. Seagulls, fisherboats and the pub where we sing at night. To forget about the mess we made... Bankers, analysts, traders and others drifting around - all welcome home
Now let’s add another indicator: the MACD. Here we look to the NYSE McClellan Summation index. If the MACD rolls over, this indicator follows suit. And also precludes a trend in the index.
Sphere: Related Content
As a byproduct we mention that the Chile Fund - a big copper producer - is doing fine too, but not booming,. Although we have to mention that the shares making up this fund are not that very liquid.
However: the 60-minute ETF is telling another story. The trend is changing.
But markets paid more attention to the FASB 3 against 2 vote to suspend mark-to-market. The nice thing is that this will give some temporary relief. But no way the difficulties will walk away. It repairs something at the valuation side, but nothing changed at the liquidity side. Problems remain: you have to continue stuff that you cannot sell and that’s what you want because the rot is creeping up, every day a little bit. If you have to hold this toxic waste until maturity then the chances grow everyday that the paper will default. Now, is that what you want as a bank?
No…
The bull case is that although accounting changes should not alter the economic reality, this change will change banks’ behavior through less forced selling and less need to raise new capital to bolster their capital ratios. The bear case is that if banks value their assets and liabilities with no reference to market prices, it becomes impossible for external investors to understand exactly what the value of banks’ balance sheets really are and risks undermining market confidence rather than bolstering it.
From Paddypower we have this photograph.