Monday, 6 April 2009

A top in the making?

Is a top in the making?
The answer is ‘yes’. We observe that major indices are overbought. Take indicators as stocks above their 50 day moving average or bullish percent indices: they are all trading in overbought territory.
Now, a top doesn’t mean necessarily a correction. Another possibility to work off this overbought condition is through consolidation and some sideways trading.
Professionals will try to bring indices further up through sector rotation.
Don’t forget: short interest is not declining for the moment, so rotation combined with earning reports will suit the bears so they can prepare another assault later on this quarter.
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